Benefits of Quantitative Risk Assessment

Risk assessment is a common first step in a risk management process. Risk assessment is the determination of quantitative or qualitative value of risk related to a concrete situation and a recognized threat.

Quantitative risk assessment requires calculations of two components of risk R, the magnitude of the potential loss L, and the probability p that the loss will occur.

Defined as a formalized basis for the objective evaluation of risk in a manner in which assumptions and uncertainties are clearly considered and presented.

Risk assessment is an important, yet difficult, step in the risk management process. Once risks have been identified and assessed, the steps to properly deal with these risks are more formulaic.

Part of the difficulty of risk management is that measurement of both of the quantities in which risk assessment is concerned- potential loss and probability of occurrence- can be very difficult to measure. The chance of error in the measurement of these two concepts is large. A risk with a large potential loss and a low probability of occurring is often treated differently from one with a low potential loss and a high likelihood of occurring. In theory, both are of nearly equal priority in dealing with first, but in practice it can be very difficult to manage when faced with the scarcity of resources, especially time, in which to conduct the risk management process.

Financial decisions, such as insurance, express loss in terms of dollar amounts. When risk assessment is used for public health or environmental decisions, loss can be quantified in a common metric,such as a country’s currency, or some numerical measure of a location’s quality of life. For public health and environmental decisions, loss is simply a verbal description of the outcome, such as increased cancer incidence or incidence of birth defects. Refer to risk assessment for more information.

If the risk estimate takes into account information on the number of individuals exposed, it is termed a “population risk” and is in units of expected increased cases per a time period. If the risk estimate does not take into account the number of individuals exposed, it is termed an “individual risk” and is in units of incidence rate per a time period. Population risks are of more use for cost/benefit analysis; individual risks are of more use for evaluating whether risks to individuals are “acceptable”.

In the context of public health, risk assessment is the process of quantifying the probability of a harmful effect to individuals or populations from certain human activities. In most countries, the use of specific chemicals, or the operations of specific facilities (e.g. power plants, manufacturing plants) is not allowed unless it can be shown that they do not increase the risk of death or illness above a specific threshold. For example, the American Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulates food safety through risk assessment. The FDA required in 1973 that cancer-causing compounds must not be present in meat at concentrations that would cause a cancer risk greater than 1 in a million lifetimes.

Barry Commoner and other critics have expressed concerns that risk assessment tends to be overly quantitative and reductive. For example, they argue that risk assessments ignore qualitative differences among risks. Some charge that assessments may drop out important non-quantifiable or inaccessible information, such as variations among the classes of people exposed to hazards. O’Brien further claims that quantitative approaches divert attention from precautionary or preventative measures. Vsit business impact analysis for more information.

Best Term Life Quotation – it’s more than just the price

All of us would love to have the best term insurance quote for ourselves. Finding one easily, however, is another story. It is not an easy task to do which is primarily due to the fact that there are a host of other factors that has to be taken into consideration other than the premium rate.

What one insurance company has to offer in terms of benefits may not be the same as what is being offered by another. Therefore, one should make it a point to meticulously check all the benefts being offered by each insurance provider and compare it with each other. It is also advisable to ensure that the insurance company is financially strong and will be able to pay you the money back when the time for it comes. Market fluctuations regularly happen. It would, therefore, be to your advantage to find an insurance provider that is financially strong and stable regardless of current market conditions.

You should also try to find out about the credit rating of the insurance provider with such organizations as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and A.M. Best. One is well advised to go with those insurance companies with an ‘A’ credit rating or higher. You are indeed one lucky person if that company is offering you best term insurance quote. It pays to ensure that the company you choose will not require you to undergo a fresh medical checkup at the end of every year. Not only would it be inconvenient on your part, it would also be costly.

The low rates of modern day insurance policies are leading to more and more people cancelling their old policies in favor of new ones. This is a good idea that you might also want to try. However, you should ensure that the transition between the old policy and the new one is quick and seamless, and there should be no time when you and your family have to go uninsured.

As you keep searching for the best term insurance quote, take care to choose the right policy for your needs. Remember that insurance is a matter of solicitation and you should take ample time to think over your options.

The Internet, like so many other things in life, is a great place to start searching for the best insurance term quote. Comparing rates and checking out multiple insurance companies is now a cinch. It has even opened the door for most people to be able to buy their insurance coverage online.

Accessing Disaster Recovery Services Key to Business Continuity Planning For Small Business

Accessing disaster recovery services in the event that your company’s computer network goes down or there is a massive failure of your IT infrastructure is not a huge concern for large business. Generally, large companies, irrespective if they are intense users of IT resources, have professional planners dedicated to business continuity and disaster recovery planning. But for smaller companies who may not have the time or resources to devote to disaster planning, being able to locate and access experienced professionals who can recover data and get a small or mid-sized company’s computer network and IT infrastructure up and running quickly can be the difference between a business setback and permanently closing your company’s doors. Refer to business continuity consultants for more information.

In today’s business world sudden and unexpected business interruptions can come from many varied sources. Whether from flood, fire or the avian flue, tornadoes or terrorism, an unexpected event or unexpected confluence of events can shut down a business quickly, and the amount of time it takes for that business to get up and running again will largely determine the bottom lie impact of the unexpected. And the key to getting a business up and running quickly will usually depend on how quickly the business’ computer systems can be recovered.

On September 11, 2001, New York brokerage firm Cantor Fitzgerald lost its offices and 680 of its 1,000 employees when terrorists leveled the World Trade Center. Cantor Fitzgerald was able to stay in business only because of a competitor that in an act of altruism and empathy offered the managers and employees who survived the terrorist attack the use of a fully equipped back up trading floor from which the survivors of 9-11 could revive the decimated company.

Examples of recovery from the brink of disaster are not usually so dramatic – or inspiring. Unexpected business disasters can and usually do arise from the more mundane and everyday events we hear of. Anything from fire to flooding caused by a burst pipe, to a breakdown in the computer equipment that forms the information and data backbone of virtually every business today, can force a company to stop operations until its IT systems are up and running again. For more information visit business continuity consultants

Fortunately, there is a wealth of expertise available for companies to tap into when the unexpected and unanticipated arise. For small businesses that cannot or do not expend the time and resources in preparedness planning and have not developed a business continuity and disaster recovery plan, a well-resourced computer equipment rentals firm can often supply and configure the computers and servers that will enable a business owner to recover the data and get his or her business up and running quickly after a business disaster. Where data has been lost, compromised or seems unrecoverable, data recovery and data forensics specialists can often step in and recover most if not all of the stored information that a business requires. (Of course, it helps if your system is already configured to backup and store data offsite.)

While business continuity and disaster recovery planning may not be a practical reality for the small business owner, for any growth or mid-sized company it becomes an ever-growing necessity. Just like insurance, the risk that is run by not having a disaster recovery plan eventually outweighs the costs in time and planning resources that help ensure your business will be able to survive an unexpected business disruption.

Once a business recovery plan is formulated, it should be tested. Again, specialists at a well-resourced business computer rental firm with expertise in providing disaster recovery services can assist in providing, configuring and setting up a backup computer network to test how your firm will be able to respond to a business disruption. A dry run of your business continuity plan will reveal any holes or oversights in your planning, and will allow you to further refine the model of how your business would cope with a sudden emergency that might otherwise force you to suspend or terminate operations.

Tips To Getting Newark Cheap Car Insurance Quotes

In good times and in hard times it is always good to try to get the best bang for your buck no matter where you are. There are many ways to reduce costs in order to ride out the current economic storm. One way to cut cost is by purchasing very cheap auto insurance. In fact, more people have started looking for Newark cheap car insurance quotes since the economy took a turn for the worst.

The internet is the best place to look for Newark cheap car insurance quotes. There are many offers from insurance companies competing for clients. This is a good time as any to get cheap car insurance because these deals give you value for money. Many insurance companies have online forms to make it easier for customers to apply for policies. Customers can now select the kind of package they like and customize it further to suit their needs and budget. It is just a matter of filling in your name and selecting the appropriate check box. It is that easy.

Those looking for bargains should also be on the look out for special packages that target niche markets. Just type in cheap car insurance for young driver and you can see for yourself. There are special packages for women that will enable them to save a bundle on premiums. This is because statistically women make fewer claims than men. This could be due to the fact that they are involved in fewer accidents than men, contrary to popular belief.

Young drivers or teens with good school records can also look forward to policies with lower premiums from some insurers. Insurance for young drivers still costs more than the ones for more mature drivers but by practicing a few smart habits, you can save a bit on premiums. This is because some insurance companies consider young drivers with good grades as low risk clients. In other words teens with good grades in school are less likely to drive recklessly and be involved in accidents. It also pays to have a spotless driving record as that would be a real testament to a persons character as a driver.

You can also try bundling your car insurance with another policy, vacant homeowners insurance for instance to get a better overall deal.

When searching for Newark cheap car insurance quotes, always to look a little deeper for special offers and see if you qualify for any of the promotions. It is also wise to compare at least 3 Newark cheap car insurance quotes to make sure you settle only on the best possible deal. Comparing policies can sometimes save you up to 1000 dollars.

Vending Machine Franchise – Easy Location Strategies

Who wants to make money in vending? You Do? Well I am here to tell you that you can make a ton of money with the right knowledge and Action steps that you take.

Action is everything when it comes to making money in vending. It is the people who actually act on the information that they get and go out there and make it happen.

Never mind the old days of cold calling and knocking on peoples door trying to convince them that they should have you set up machines at their business.

Now you have to market your business properly in order to get the best locations with less effort and while making the most money.

You see I have been in vending for over 10 years now and I have found that it is a lot easier when local businesses call me and ask me to set up machines at their business reather than me try and pound down their door trying to convince them to do business with me.

I will never do that and neither should you!

What you want to do is position yourself properly in front of your prospects to get their business and get them to contact you first.

Want to learn all of my vending secrets?

Then check out my website at Vending Machine Franchise today!

Team Building: The Eight Engines Of High Performance Teams

There are quite a few methods currently in use to get teams to work better. All the way from outdoor experiences like ropes courses and climbing mountains to the classroom and on the job experiences. Some, obviously, work better than others for your situation.

While many of these methods are enjoyable, they may not lead to better team performance over time. How many of you have gone out into the wild to “team” only to come back to the office and still not trust each other or have fuzzy goals or run across unexpected political barriers. Refer to mission directed work teams for more information.

No matter what the method, you will have difficulty achieving successful team outcomes unless you turn on the eight engines of effective teamwork. Over the past 26 years of practice and research, the following eight engines have surfaced as consistently powering effective team performance:

?Defining goals/objectives/success
? Sorting out roles/responsibilities/accountabilities
? Identifying barriers to success and developing contingency plans
? Improving interpersonal relationships between team members
? Feedback systems
? Team member recruitment and departure
? Team leadership
? Intra- and inter-team communication

There is, however, a significant difference between how ordinary teams and high performing teams run these engines.

Ordinary teams list out all their goals and objectives and prioritize the entire list. I’ve seen some teams with lists of objectives as long as my sleeve. The best teams limit their goals to only a few. Those that need to be accomplished within a short period, say 30 days. These few near-term goals are then prioritized. As time passes, some longer-term goals move into the shorter time frame and are included into a newly re-prioritized list. What exceptional teams do, is identify those goals that seem to consistently drop to the bottom of the priority list. Then they get rid of them; delegate them upwards, outwards (outsourcing) or eliminate them totally since they will never have the time to get to them. This process seems to relieve a lot of guilt associated with not getting those things done that you know you’ll never have time to do. In essence, then, high performing teams only work on short-term continuously high priority goals. For more information visit work teams

Ordinary teams divide up their roles and responsibilities as best they can. While exceptional teams take little for chance. The best teams identify the gaps and overlaps in roles so that people don’t fight over their responsibilities (turf wars) and important (but often dull) tasks (hot potatoes) don’t get left undone.

Exceptional teams go on to identify three types of barriers that have potential to upset the apple cart. People barriers, process barriers, and structure barriers. People barriers show up when someone doesn’t get along with others and is seen as an impediment to progress. Most team jerks fall into this category. If fact, there are very few real jerks; they just may have a toxic relationship with someone else on the team. Process barriers are policies and practices that have outlived their usefulness but remain in place anyhow. Most effective teams either ignore these policy barriers or have them redone. One place to look to improving these outdated policies is to change the date at the bottom of each policy page to an “expiration date” instead of an “effective date” or “revision date.” Structural barriers are created by a mismatch between how the team is structured (hierarchical vs. self-directed) and the skill level of the team members. For example, knowledge workers work best in a hierarchical structure. For more information refer to work team

The most effective teams tend to help each of their members understand their own personalities as well as those of the other team members. This knowledge not only goes a long way in helping the team build bridges across toxic relationships (versatility), but also helps assign roles that take advantage of the natural strengths of ones personality.

Exceptional teams tend to make sure the infrastructure supporting their team efforts is continuously maintained. They make sure, for example, that there is an informal continuous feedback loop between all team members/leader. They make sure every team member is operating from the same page in terms of agreed upon decision-making methods. They make sure that they are continuously looking for ways to improve communication within and between teams. They divide their team members up into “core” and “resource” to take advantage of time commitments and needed skills. And they look at varying their leadership models depending on the changing needs of the team.

Moving from ordinary to a high performing really depends upon your commitment to run your team using the eight engines of effective teamwork.

Finding the Expert Data Recovery Service You Need

You need a data recovery service provider that can get the job done right the first time. After all, second chances are rare when it comes to recovering data. It’s not uncommon for data on drives to completely disappear if the proper data recovery techniques are not used as soon as problems occur. Sure, cost is a big consideration in most things, but with data recovery services the price isn’t what should concern you the most…

The Critical Who Question

Knowing how to choose the right provider for your data recovery service needs can be the difference between a successful recovery and never seeing your data again. Yes, time and money are important considerations as you search for a data recovery service, but you also need to think about the time and effort you put into the data you created. What will it take to recreate those lost files? Refer to business continuity office recovery to find more information.

There are usually two choices of providers available to assist you with data recovery service: your local technician or a professional data recovery specialist. If you search the Internet for data recovery specialists, you will find thousands of providers listed. How can you tell a data recovery specialist from a computer service technician? There are a few clues to watch for…

What To Ask Them

If you really want to know what kind of data recovery service provider you are contacting, ask them about any other computer repairs and services they offer. Ask about purchasing a back up server, and then inquire about the cost to have one set up. If they begin asking you for more specific information, you can be sure you have contacted a technician that also cross-markets hard drive data and recovery services.
Go to call centre disaster recovery to find more information.
These technicians can do two things: make a image of your drive at the bit level for safety purposes, then attempt to reclaim your files using an automated recovery utility. If you don’t understand these required steps, have a dead hard drive, or if data safety is a high priority, you should seek the services of a professional data recovery service firm.

Choosing a Professional Service

Any company specializing in data recovery service and computer forensic investigation services is considered a professional data recovery service provider. Firms like these focus their expertise on data recovery service and are recognized industry experts. They deal with file undelete and tape recovery as well as more complex issues like RAID Recovery.

A professional firm will also have drive imaging techniques and computer hardware tools far more sophisticated than your everyday basic data recovery utility. And you can be sure they will use the absolute safest data recovery techniques available to retrieve your data.

And keep in mind that even though the demand for data recovery services has increased dramatically over the last decade, few expert providers are available in the industry. You probably can’t just flip through your local phone book to find a data recovery specialist in your area. In fact, there’s a good chance that you won’t find a provider available in your state.

Computer Technician or Professional Firm

At first going to your local computer shop may seem great because they are cheaper and located nearby. But you need to remain aware of the risks involved when you choose less experienced technicians to recover your data.

The bottom line is, looking at the numbers, and then through them to find and choose the best data recovery service available, often decides whether you get your data back – or not.

Refer to financial trading recovery services for more information.

Bankruptcy is Just a Symptom

You cannot bomb, maim, kill, deceive, lie, torture, steal, cover up or spread hate without all of that negative energy output coming back. Bankruptcy is one of the symptoms of a country which has betrayed its principles and its people. This was a leadership, the Bush-Cheney years, the culmination of the illusory concept that America could do no wrong, that we were the rescuer of the rest of the world that we had rights that other countries did not have, that somehow we were above the law, international law, human rights law, that brought us to our knees. And it pains me to see Obama not fully stepping into his rightful place as leader of the change that we all need to save this world from the disastrous course into which it has been heading. Our children are going to inherit a polluted environment, economic and social chaos if we do not stand up and fight for what is morally and ethically right. And I am not talking about right wing fundamentalists who think only of their own small cloistered closet in the world. We the nation elected Obama to realign priorities and values that have been distorted beyond recognition.

Email Marketing Metrics Tampa & Brandon Organizations May Have To Know

As more Tampa and Brandon professionals increase the number of email marketing programs due to their slim advertising budgets in 2009, it is vital to know which statistics one should monitor and how doing so can help future email marketing efforts. Most email marketers today watch metrics that are directly related to their particular email marketing objectives. For example, if you are broadcasting HTML emails to potential clients you may utilize open rates as a metric of your campaign’s achievement. Other metrics which may help your email marketing efforts moving forward include: open rates for each day and time, click-through rates and goal conversions.

As a Brandon or Tampa business in the development phases of an email marketing campaign, would you be interested in learning what kind of open rates other email marketers are receiving? According to popular email marketing services provider Aweber, the average open rate within their network for April 2008 was 13.6%. Do keep in mind that this figure may not be relevant or a realistic percentage for your particular industry, nevertheless if your open rate is below this number do not feel discouraged. What you should take out of this number is simple, if your open rate increases over a short period of time than more prospects are reading your emails and vice a versa. The next metric related to open rates which may be of great value to your Tampa email marketing campaigns include the day and time of your email messages.

Do you know what day and time has brought your email marketing campaigns the highest success rate? Most email marketers will quickly answer “Tuesday, Tuesday, Tuesday”. Well, this may be true for many email marketers in the industry. The truth of the matter is that each of our email marketing campaigns or email marketing clients have a distinct message to offer a unique audience. So what functions for audience #1, may not work for audience #2. To have a better idea, simply test your broadcast audience and track your statistics for each campaign. Within a few broadcasts, you will quickly find what works best for you and your particular audience.

In addition to monitoring your email marketing data, you may also want to ask your Brandon email subscribers or prospects to add you to their contacts list or “whitelist”. This will help you to improve the response of your email marketing campaigns.

If you’re a Tampa or Brandon company utilizing email marketing and would like to learn how email marketing may help you gather more leads, increase service total sales and brand awareness, simply register for Spotlight Creation’s free informational e-newsletter.

Business Process Modeling: A Waste Time and Money!

Businesses of all sizes around the world spend millions of hours and hundred of millions of dollars each year doing Business process modeling.

Why?

Well if you asked any of the senior executives involved in signing off the huge budgets for these projects they would tell you that it is to bring huge efficiencies to their enterprises.

But does it?

How many businesses are really better off after these projects than they were before? The answer, very sadly is, very, very few!

But why not?

Well the simple answer is that most of these modeling projects make fundamental errors that ensure that they will fail. Worse still is that these errors are all completely avoidable.

Any reasonable analyst following the basic rules for business process modeling could avoid them!

The sad fact is that even the most “experienced” analysts in these projects GET THE BASICS WRONG!

The Four Basic Errors

The four most common errors made by analysts are:

1. Incorrect or no basic definitions
2. Starting in the wrong place
3. Decomposing processes
4. Modeling the wrong thing

One of these errors would be bad enough but those analysts who get item 1) wrong are going to get the rest wrong as well – a recipe for an expensive failure!

But is not all negative. There are some good analysts out there and they do an excellent job.

But the means by which they achieve their good results is all locked away in their heads and, unless an analyst eager to learn their methods were to follow them around for three to six months, there would be no way of learning these methods.

But there is an exception. John Owens, a business systems analysts with over twenty years international experience and learning has written down the very best techniques and called it the Integrated Modeling Method (IMM).

Let us take a closer look at the Four Cardinal Errors.

Cardinal Error 1: Misunderstanding of Basic Definitions

A simple demonstration of this can be had by asking any three analysts the question “what is a Business Process”. The first response that you will get is a loud guffaw and be told not to be so stupid, because “Everybody knows what a Business Process is!”

But if you press them for a definition you will get at least four different answers and probably NONE of them will be right.

Hard to believe, but it is true. The reason for this is probably because analysis started off in the world of computing where jargon was, and still is, king. Nearly everybody in this world believes that they know exactly what each piece of jargon means and what they understand it to mean is exactly what everybody else understands – WRONG!

And if they ever have a doubt they will never ask. That would be admitting that they do not know and would risk the ridicule of their peers! So they bluff it out year to year, increasing their time in the business but not their learning.

So lets turn the tide and give some basic but essential definitions that anyone doing Business Systems Analysis [Key phrase: Business Systems Analysis] or Business Process Modeling [Key Phrase: Business Process Modeling ] needs to be able to give by heart.

Business Function: WHAT a business must do, disregarding HOW and WHO.

Mechanism: HOW and WHO does the WHAT from the Business Function.

Business Process: The order in which Business Functions need to be carried out.

Business Procedure: HOW and WHO does the WHAT in a Business Process.

Full definitions for all of these terms can be found at [Link: http://www.integrated-modeling-method.com/imm-bpm-business-process-modeling-method]

Knowing these definitions will enable all analysts to avoid Cardinal Error 1.

Cardinal Error 2: Starting in the Wrong Place

When analysts do not have the definitions for the basic elements for Business Process Modeling they inevitably start in the wrong place.

Once you know that a Process is a definition of the order in which Business Functions need to be carried out, you then know that, before you can model Business Processes you need to have modeled the functions.

Simple, but a step missed out by probably 70% of Business Process Modeling projects.

Solution 1: Start in the right place and model the Business Functions.

Cardinal Error 3: Decomposing Processes

When analysts start in the wrong place and miss out modeling the Business Functions, they then fall into the next trap and model high level Processes and then have to decompose these to get them to some useable level of detail.

Decomposing processes is a practice to be AVOIDED AT ALL COSTS because 1) it generates up to 300% more diagrams than are necessary and 2) it is an inherently flawed technique when it comes to precedence logic.

When you start with the Business Functions, you can do all decomposition in the Function Hierarchy and only draw processes for the Elementary Business Functions, resulting in far fewer diagrams, lots of time and money saved, no logic errors.

Cardinal Error 4: Modeling the Wrong Thing

For analysts committing Cardinal Error 1, the errors get compounded. Because they cannot tell a Function from a Process, they also cannot tell a Function from a Mechanism.

So they start modeling Processes – as you saw, wrong in itself – they then compound their error by modeling Mechanisms (the HOW and the WHO) as steps in what they think is a Process (instead of the WHAT) and end up, without knowing it, modeling Procedure.

If you do not believe my do a search on the Internet for Process Modeling software and 70%, or more, of what you find will be Procedure modeling software!

To avoid committing all of the Cardinal Errors described above, Increase you accuracy and productivity and achieve quality results first time, every time. Have a detailed look at the IMM video:

A full set of Business Systems Modeling eBooks may be found at www.integrated-modeling-method.com

John Owens
Author
Business Systems Analysis Specialist
Business Mentor
Email: john@integrated-modeling-method.com